MARKET FLASH:

"It seems the donkey is laughing, but he instead is braying (l'asino sembra ridere ma in realtà raglia)": si veda sotto "1927-1933: Pompous Prognosticators" per avere la conferma che la storia non si ripete ma fà la rima.


mercoledì 25 marzo 2020

Dow Squeezes To Best Day Since 1933, Gold Soars As Dollar Dips

 

The day ended with still no Stimulus Bill (the 1100-page plus pork-fest is 'close' reportedly), with Italy's virus-death-count resurgent (dashing optimism that they peaked), no clear indication of when the economy will reopen (despite Trump and Kudlow pushing the narrative), and a total and utter collapse in global PMIs.

So it all makes perfect sense that stocks soared massively today - Dow +11.3% (biggest absolute point gain for The Dow ever)...

 
 
 
 
Orascom Investment Holding CEO on Coronavirus, Recession, Gold
 

...erasing Friday and Monday's losses...

Futures were limit-up overnight, and extended panic-buy gains - just like last week - at the open and into the close...

For the Dow, this was the best day for The Dow since 1933 (and the heaviest volume ever)

 
 

Source: Bloomberg

And here's what The New York Times said on that day in 1933 - a response after markets were shutdown, massive volume, thanks to President/Congress' actions, and massive short-squeeze - sounds FAMILIAR!!

Here's what happened the last time The Dow rallied this much...

Source: Bloomberg

And another huge dead-cat-bounce...

Source: Bloomberg

We've seen this before...

Source: Bloomberg

The S&P tested back up to the Dec 2018 lows...

Source: Bloomberg

European stocks explode higher too (Euro Stoxx up 8.4% - the most since Nov 2008) and DAX's 11% surge is also the biggest since Nov 2008...

Source: Bloomberg

This was the biggest short-squeeze day ever in US markets - with "Most Shorted" stocks soaring 11%!!!

Source: Bloomberg

VIX notably decoupled from stocks exuberance today...

Source: Bloomberg

HYG and LQD were both higher today...

Source: Bloomberg

But, LQD faded notably despite the largest inflows ever in the last two days...

Bonds and stocks have notably decoupled once again this week...

Source: Bloomberg

Treasury yields were higher today, led by the belly (5Y-10Y +9bps, 30Y +2bps) - but 10Y and 30Y yield are still lower on the week...

Source: Bloomberg

30Y Yields outperformed, rallying from around the time of the ugly PMIs...

Source: Bloomberg

The Dollar suffered its first drop in the last 11 days...

Source: Bloomberg

Cryptos extended their post-QEterntity gains...

Source: Bloomberg

Helped by a weaker dollar, commodities were all broadly higher today (with Precious Metals extended their gains today - silver outperfoming...

Source: Bloomberg

WTI was unable to hold gains above $24 today, ahead of tonight's API inventory data...

Gold futures soared once again, almost tagging $1700...

And notably decoupling from spot prices...

Source: Bloomberg

Silver is also rallying hard, back above $14...

 

Finally, we hate to burst everyone's bubble, but this thing is accelerating dramatically...

Source: Bloomberg

But, despite the soaring cases and deaths, the "Virus Fear" trade has plunged in the last two days...

Source: Bloomberg

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