MARKET FLASH:

"It seems the donkey is laughing, but he instead is braying (l'asino sembra ridere ma in realtà raglia)": si veda sotto "1927-1933: Pompous Prognosticators" per avere la conferma che la storia non si ripete ma fà la rima.


venerdì 9 marzo 2018

What’s Coming Will Be Much Worse Than 2008

While everyone is "high fiving" over stocks holding up, the bond market is back to imploding. Already Treasury yields have bounced and are soaring higher in one of the nastiest breakouts in over 20 years.


In a world awash in too much debt (global Debt to GDP is over 300%) this is a MAJOR problem.

Most investors believe that the 2008 Crisis was the worst crisis of their lifetimes. They're mistaken… what's coming down the pike when the Bond Bubble blows up will be many times worse than 2008.

The reason is that bonds, not stocks, represent the bedrock of the financial system. When a stock bubble bursts, investors lose money. When a sovereign bond bubble bursts, entire countries go bust (a la Greece in 2010).

On that note, I want to point out that bond yields are not just rising in the US… we're seeing them spike in Germany, Japan, and others.


This is a truly global problem, and if Central Banks don't move to get it control soon, we're heading into a MAJOR crisis.

Bond Yields Are Rising Again… Stocks Are on Thin Ice

The financial media is awash with claims that Gary Cohn's resignation as Chief Economic Advisor is triggering a market collapse.

While it's true that a market collapse is starting again, it has nothing to do with Gary Cohn.

How do I know?

Because Gary Cohn first wrote a resignation letter back in August 2017 in the wake of the Charlottesville mess… and stocks exploded higher beginning one of their greatest rallies in history.

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Put simply: stocks are not diving because of Gary Cohn; they are diving because the issue that first triggered the market meltdown in early February (rising rates) continues!

Remember, the ENTIRE market rally following the 2008 Crisis was triggered by the Fed creating a bubble in US Sovereign Bonds, also called Treasuries.

Because our current financial system is based on debt, these bonds represent the bedrock for the entire financial system, with their yields representing the "risk free rate" of return against which EVERY asset class on the planet is priced.

As a result of this, when bond yields begin to rise, EVERY ASSET CLASS in the system (including stocks) adjusts accordingly.

In chart terms, THIS was what triggered the first leg down during this market collapse.

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And guess what? Bonds yields bounced off support and are already turning back up again.

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Which means… stocks will soon be revisiting the February lows.

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