MARKET FLASH:

"It seems the donkey is laughing, but he instead is braying (l'asino sembra ridere ma in realtà raglia)": si veda sotto "1927-1933: Pompous Prognosticators" per avere la conferma che la storia non si ripete ma fà la rima.


lunedì 6 novembre 2017

The Two Most Important Charts For Investing Over the Next 12 Months

Something truly massive happened in early 2017.

That "something" was the market shifted from deflation towards an inflationary outlook.

If you don't believe me, you can see for yourself.

Inflation expectations broke out of a multi-year downtrend. Not only that, but  they have since continued higher, bouncing of support.

GPC11617.jpg

Investing in the markets is like playing poker, and this was a massive "tell" that the market had changed.

The next big "tell" came when yields on the 10-Year Treasury broke out of a downtrend.

As I've explained time and again, bonds trade based on inflation expectations among other things. So to see yields rising like this, breaking a multi-year downtrend, "tells" us that the bond market is adjusting to the future threat of inflation.

GPC116172.png

Put simply, we are getting numerous signs that the markets are shifting into a new major trend. And when I saw "major" I mean MAJOR.

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