One look at the latest GDP print out of Japan, and one would think the country's economy was already being ravaged by the coronavirus: at -1.6% Q/Q and a whopping -6.3% annualized - nearly double the 3.8% estimated drop - this was the second worst GDP print since the financial crisis and the second-worst quarter of the Shinzo Abe era, surpassing even the drop in the aftermath of the Fukushima disaster.
Of course, the latest plunge in Japan's GDP has nothing to do with the coronavirus as it took place in Q4, and the drop was largely a byproduct of the sale tax hike, which led to a similar collapse in Q2 2014 GDP, following the first such tax hike.
One look at the GDP components confirms that the plunge was largely the result of collapsing consumption, with Houshehold Consumption plunging at an 11.5% annualized pace, the second biggest drop that Private Demand plummeted at an -11.1% annualized basis...
... the second worst on record, and also just behind the -18.1% drop recorded after the first sales tax hike in 2014.
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