MARKET FLASH:

"It seems the donkey is laughing, but he instead is braying (l'asino sembra ridere ma in realtà raglia)": si veda sotto "1927-1933: Pompous Prognosticators" per avere la conferma che la storia non si ripete ma fà la rima.


venerdì 21 settembre 2018

Movin’ On Up! Interest Rates Keep Rising (100% Prob of Rate Hike At Sept FOMC Meeting!)

They're a movin' on up .. to the north side. 

The Fed Funds Target Rate, the 2 year Treasury yield, the 90 day commercial paper rate and effective Fed Funds rate all moved together prior to the first Fed rate hike in late 2015. Since then, we are seeing divergence.

fedratesyiklwe

And the 10-year keeps a goin' on up!

10solikd

And the probability of more Fed rate hikes are forecast for the future.

fedhikes

And WIRP, the implied probabilty from Fed Funds Futures are pointing to a 100% chance of a rate hike in September AND November.

sept261090.png

And the good ship Folly Pop isn't sinking. Yet.

goodshiup.png

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